Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brommapojkarna win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brommapojkarna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brommapojkarna would win this match.