Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.