Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 79.44%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.23%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Halmstads BK win it was 0-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.