Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.