Women's Champions League | First Round Finals
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brondby IF's anlaeg

Ajax
0 - 1
Fiorentina


Yohannes (67'), Noordam (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Janogy (82')
Georgieva (7'), Snerle (68')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League First Round Finals clash between Ajax Women and Fiorentina Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax Women

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Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Kolos
Wednesday, September 4 at 1pm in Women's Champions League
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Fiorentina Women

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Last Game: Brondby 0-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax Women win with a probability of 57.72%. A win for Fiorentina Women had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Fiorentina Women win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Ajax WomenDrawFiorentina Women
57.72% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.8% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.35% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.71% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)55.54% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38%11.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)36.64% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Fiorentina Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.034999999999997 0.03)28.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ajax Women 57.72%
    Fiorentina Women 21.8%
    Draw 20.47%
Ajax WomenDrawFiorentina Women
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.34%
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.01%
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 57.72%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.15%
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 21.8%

rhs 2.0


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