Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 24.45% ( | 24.03% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( | 47.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( | 69.39% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( | 33.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( | 70.15% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( | 18.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( | 49.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.45% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0-3 @ 5.01% 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.51% |