Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 59.03% ( | 23.79% ( | 17.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( | 54.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( | 76% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( | 18.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.63% ( | 49.37% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.62% ( | 45.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.77% ( | 81.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 14.1% ( 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 5-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.02% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 2-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.18% |