Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 45.39% ( | 24.98% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( | 47.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( | 69.76% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( | 20.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( | 53.76% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( | 29.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( | 65.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.64% |