Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
1 - 2
Livingston

Crawford (45')
Boyes (45')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Montano (18'), Pittman (23')
Muirhead (64'), Tait (76')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Livingston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Falkirk 5-0 Morton
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Livingston 3-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Livingston
22.37% ( -0.18)	26.03% ( 0.04)	51.6% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 46.09% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.16% (

-0.3)

56.84% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.23% (

-0.24)

77.76% (

0.24)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18% (

-0.35)

40.82% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6% (

-0.31)

77.4% (

0.32)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.89% (

-0.06)

22.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.52% (

-0.09)

55.47% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 22.37%

Livingston 51.59%

Draw 26.03%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Livingston
1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.37%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 13.62% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.27% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.59%