Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
2 - 1
Ayr

Blues (56'), Davies (77')
Lyall (88'), Lyall (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Main (8')
McAllister (45'), Oakley (87')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Morton
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-3 Ayr
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-0 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
24.54% ( -0.01)	27.31% ( -0)	48.14% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.85% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4% (

-0.01)

59.59% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

-0.01)

79.93% (

0.01)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.7% (

-0.02)

40.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.07% (

-0.02)

76.93% (

0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

24.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53% (

59.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 24.54%

Ayr United 48.14%

Draw 27.31%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 24.54%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 13.94% 0-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.14%