Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 47.94% ( | 25.48% | 26.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.56% | 51.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.75% | 73.25% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( | 21.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( | 54.5% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( | 34.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( | 70.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.58% |