Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21

Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Cappielow Park

Morton
3 - 3
Raith Rovers

Shaw (31'), Blues (63'), Adeloye (75')
Ballantyne (66'), Boyes (88'), Davies (90+3'), Davies (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gullan (11', 20'), Connolly (90')
Vaughan (45+2'), Brown (66'), Doherty (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 2-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Partick 0-0 Raith Rovers
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Raith Rovers
45.14% ( 3.39)	29.27% ( -0.44)	25.58% ( -2.96)

Both teams to score 40.8% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.85% (

0.09)

65.15% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16% (

0.06)

83.99% (

-0.06)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

1.93)

28.99% (

-1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

2.33)

64.89% (

-2.33)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.46% (

-2.52)

42.53% (

2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.1% (

-2.23)

78.89% (

2.23)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 45.14%

Raith Rovers 25.58%

Draw 29.27%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 15.26% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.44% Total : 45.14%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 12.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.27%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.1% Total : 25.58%