Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Morton
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Cappielow Park
Raith Rovers
  • Nathan Shaw 31' goal
  • Cameron Blues 63' goal
  • Cameron Ballantyne 66' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 75' goal
  • Morgan Boyes 88' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jordan Davies 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Gullan 11'
  • goal James Gullan 20'
  • yellowcard Lewis Vaughan 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 66'
  • goal Aidan Connolly 90'
  • yellowcard Jordan Doherty 90'+3'

Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
Morton 2 - 1 Queen's Park
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Cameron Blues

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.45pm
Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Dylan Easton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result

Greenock Morton 45.14% ▲ (+3.40)
Draw 29.27% ▼ (-0.44)
Raith Rovers 25.58% ▼ (-2.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.8% ▼ (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.85% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 65.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 16% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 83.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 6.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 93.85% ▼ (-0.04)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 0.5 28.99% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 1.5 35.11% ▲ (+2.33)
Under 1.5 64.89% ▼ (-2.33)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 57.46% ▼ (-2.53)
Under 0.5 42.53% ▲ (+2.53)
Over 1.5 21.1% ▼ (-2.24)
Under 1.5 78.89% ▲ (+2.24)

Score analysis

Greenock Morton 45.14%
Draw 29.27%
Raith Rovers 25.58%
Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 15.26% ▲ (+0.75)
2-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.93)
2-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.57)
3-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-96.60)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-88.57)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 45.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 12.33% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.27%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 10.54% ▼ (-0.80)
1-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.69)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 25.58%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Raith Rovers
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stark's Park
Morton
  • Zak Delaney 59' goal
  • Scott Brown 63' yellowcard
  • Dylan Easton 81' goal
  • goal Filip Stuparevic 6'
  • goal Filip Stuparevic 25'
  • yellowcard Cameron Blues 38'
  • yellowcard Ryan Mullen 56'
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 88'
  • goal Michael Garrity 90'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Morton
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
Raith Rovers
  • Filip Stuparevic 49' goal
  • Michael Garrity 54' goal
  • Iain Wilson 58' yellowcard
  • Cameron Blues 85' yellowcard
  • Grant Gillespie 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Stevenson 70'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Morton
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cappielow Park
Raith Rovers
  • Kirk Broadfoot 37' yellowcard
  • Darragh O'Connor 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darragh O'Connor 68'
  • yellowcard E. Murray 68'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Raith Rovers
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stark's Park
Morton
  • Aidan Connolly 25' yellowcard
  • Callum Smith 40' yellowcard
  • Kyle Turner 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Baird 16'
  • yellowcard Darragh O'Connor 23'
  • yellowcard Robbie Muirhead 45'+1'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 11
Morton
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Cappielow Park
Raith Rovers
  • Jamie MacDonald 9' yellowcard
  • Robbie Crawford 35' yellowcard
  • Iain Wilson 48' goal
  • Robbie Muirhead 78' yellowcard
  • Jack Baird 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Aidan Connolly 26'
  • yellowcard Ross Millen 34'
  • goal Aidan Connolly 41'
  • yellowcard Liam Dick 70'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Raith Rovers
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stark's Park
Morton
  • Jack Hamilton 5' goal
  • Lewis Vaughan 14' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 27' yellowcard
  • Keith Watson 46' yellowcard
  • Ross Millen 57' yellowcard
  • Lewis Vaughan 61' yellowcard
  • Callum Smith 76' goal
  • Shaun Byrne 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kirk Broadfoot 13'
  • goal Robbie Muirhead 17'
  • yellowcard Calum Waters 26'
  • yellowcard Jai Quitongo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 47'
  • yellowcard Steven Boyd 57'
  • goal Robbie Crawford 71'
  • yellowcard Darragh O'Connor 87'
  • yellowcard Alex King 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Lewis McGrattan 90'+5'

Form Data

Morton 2 - 1 Queen's Park
Hamilton 0 - 2 Morton
Morton 2 - 1 Ayr
Dunfermline 2 - 1 Morton
Livingston 3 - 2 Morton
Morton 0 - 2 Falkirk
Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Dunfermline
Livingston 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers 0 - 4 Queen's Park
Airdrieonians 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Hamilton