Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Livingston |
| 23.89% ( | 26% ( | 50.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% ( | 55.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.37% ( | 76.63% ( |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( | 38.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( | 22.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( | 55.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 3-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 12.88% ( 0-2 @ 9.7% ( 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0-3 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.11% |