Scottish Championship | Gameweek 31

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
3 - 0
Dunfermline

McLennan (45'), Murphy (68'), Walker (90+5')
McAllister (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chalmers (81')
Wanyama (84')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Hamilton
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 19.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
57.55% ( -0.48)	23.26% ( 0.2)	19.19% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 49.63% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.15% (

-0.41)

49.84% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.16% (

-0.36)

71.84% (

0.36)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93% (

-0.32)

17.07% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.75% (

-0.56)

47.25% (

0.56)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.85% (

0.08)

40.15% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.21% (

0.07)

76.79% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 57.53%

Dunfermline Athletic 19.19%

Draw 23.25%

Ayr United	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.53%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.19%