Scottish Championship | Gameweek 30

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 1
Hamilton

Walker (90+5')
Walker (85'), Rus (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shaw (64')
McGinty (45+1'), O'Hara (68'), Robinson (74'), Shaw (82'), Lyness (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Partick 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Morton
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Hamilton Academical
57.97% ( -0.54)	21.99% ( 0.14)	20.04% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 55.05% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67% (

-0.06)

43.32% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.28% (

-0.05)

65.72% (

0.05)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

-0.19)

14.67% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.17% (

-0.37)

42.83% (

0.37)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.52% (

0.38)

35.48% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75% (

0.39)

72.25% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 57.97%

Hamilton Academical 20.04%

Draw 21.99%

Ayr United	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 57.97%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.04%