Scottish Championship | Gameweek 35

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 2
Queen's Park

Murphy (16'), McKenzie (54')
Musonda (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Drozd (23'), MacGregor (31')
Drozd (7'), McGinlay (42'), Montgomery (59')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Queen's Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Livingston 5-0 Ayr
Friday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Queen's Park

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Hamilton 0-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Queen's Park
62.9% ( 0)	21.09% ( 0.01)	16.01% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.27% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.17% (

-0.08)

45.83% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.86% (

-0.08)

68.14% (

0.08)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05% (

-0.03)

13.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.58% (

-0.05)

41.42% (

0.05)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41% (

-0.07)

41.59% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.93% (

-0.06)

78.08% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 62.89%

Queen's Park 16.01%

Draw 21.08%

Ayr United	Draw	Queen's Park
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 62.89%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.23% 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.01%