Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Jamie Murphy 16' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 54' goal
  • Frankie Musonda 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 7'
  • goal Sebastian Drozd 23'
  • goal Roddy MacGregor 31'
  • yellowcard Aidan McGinlay 42'
  • yellowcard Adam Montgomery 59'

Ayr United vs Queen's Park - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 7.45pm
Livingston 5 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
George Oakley

Queen's Park

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
Hamilton 0 - 0 Queen's Park
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Zak Rudden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 16.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 62.9% (+0.01)
Draw 21.09% (+0.02)
Queen's Park 16.01% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.27% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.17% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 45.83% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 31.86% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.14% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 15.97% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.03% (+0.06)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 86.05% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 13.95% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 58.58% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 41.42% (+0.06)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5 58.41% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 41.59% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 21.93% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.08% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Ayr United 62.89%
Draw 21.08%
Queen's Park 16.01%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.42% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.25% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.08%
Queen's Park
0-1 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.01%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Jack Turner 49' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Zak Rudden 54' goal
  • Calum Ferrie 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Duncan 69' yellowcard
  • Sean Welsh 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Rus 65'
  • yellowcard Mark McKenzie 75'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 76'
  • goal Curtis Main 79'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Jay Henderson 31' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 39' goal
  • George Oakley 76' goal
  • Ryan Howley 84' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hislop 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Thomson 57'
  • yellowcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 73'
  • goal Josh Hinds 81'
  • goal Jack Turner 83'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Drozd 89'
  • redcard Rocco Hickey-Fugaccia 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Ibrox Stadium
  • Cammy Kerr 35' goal
  • Cammy Kerr 72' yellowcard
  • Magnus Mackenzie 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Dempsey 13'
  • goal Ben Dempsey 58'
  • yellowcard Roy Syla 78'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 30
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Jack Sanders 78' goal
  • goal Ruari Paton 19'
  • goal Cillian Sheridan 59'
  • yellowcard Sean Welsh 77'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Hampden Park
  • Sean Welsh 39' yellowcard
  • Jack Turner 41' yellowcard
  • Ruari Paton 63' goal
  • Sean Welsh 65' redcard
  • goal Jamie Murphy 40'
  • yellowcard Jamie Murphy 62'
  • goal Mark McKenzie 74'
  • yellowcard Fraser Bryden 87'
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 89'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 23' goal
  • Anton Dowds 38' goal
  • yellowcard Dom Thomas 22'
  • goal Alex Bannon 58'
  • yellowcard Thomas Robson 62'
  • goal Ruari Paton 90'+5'