Scottish Championship | Gameweek 34

Apr 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
5 - 0
Ayr

Kelly (6', 45'), Muirhead (34' pen.), Montano (80'), McAlear (90+1')
Smith (42'), Finlayson (63'), McGowan (68')

FT(HT: 3-0)

McAllister (22'), McMann (38'), Agbaire (72'), Hastie (89')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Livingston and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Falkirk
Friday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Ayr United
50.78% ( 0.56)	26.66% ( 0.03)	22.56% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 44.62% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.13% (

-0.58)

58.87% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.63% (

-0.46)

79.37% (

0.46)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67% (

-0)

23.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71% (

-0)

57.29% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.2% (

-0.91)

41.8% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.74% (

-0.8)

78.26% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Livingston 50.77%

Ayr United 22.56%

Draw 26.66%

Livingston	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.77%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.56%