Scottish Championship | Gameweek 33

Apr 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 1
Falkirk

Walker (90')
Walker (90+1'), Walker (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mackie (45')
Tait (46'), Miller (51')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-0 Ayr
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Falkirk

All competitions

Last Game: Falkirk 5-0 Morton
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Falkirk
33.53% ( 0.03)	25.82% ( -0)	40.65% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

0.01)

49.77% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

0.01)

71.77% (

-0.02)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.76% (

0.03)

28.23% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.06% (

0.04)

63.94% (

-0.04)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.01)

24.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

-0.01)

58.53% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 33.53%

Falkirk 40.65%

Draw 25.82%

Ayr United	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.65%