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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 1
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Swindon Town

Colchester
3 - 1
Swindon

Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Swindon Town

There is plenty of uncertainty regarding how these two teams will fare this season after each losing a significant amount of players during the transfer window so far, but neither side should be majorly concerned about any relegation troubles. With that in mind, we can envisage a decent encounter with plenty of offensive quality on display, with both managers likely to settle for a share of the spoils to open the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
37.42% (1.229 1.23) 24.07% (-0.084 -0.08) 38.5% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 61.19% (0.415 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78% (0.498 0.5)41.22% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (0.506 0.51)63.61% (-0.511 -0.51)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.858 0.86)22.04% (-0.864 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (1.287 1.29)55.37% (-1.292 -1.29)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.34100000000001 -0.34)21.5% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.523 -0.52)54.55% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 37.42%
    Swindon Town 38.5%
    Draw 24.07%
Colchester UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.154 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.5%

How you voted: Colchester vs Swindon

Colchester United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Swindon Town
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Colchester
1-1
Swindon
Huws (90+2')
Tchamadeu (57'), Hannant (60'), Sears (90+5')
George (72'), Chambers (87')
McKirdy (68')
Lyden (43'), Conroy (90')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Swindon
1-2
Colchester
Crichlow (45+1')
Francis (45+2'), Dabre (82')
Chambers (6', 11')
Judge (14'), Smith (40'), Jasper (55'), McCoulsky (90+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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