Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 4

Apr 19, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Yud-Alef Stadium

Ashdod
4 - 1
H. Hadera

Ansah (8'), Kna'an (16' pen., 63'), Mucha (90+2')
Bitton (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Cortes (7')
Mbodj (32'), Shabo (45+3'), Osikmashvili (66')

Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Ashdod and Hapoel Hadera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ashdod

All competitions

Last Game: Ironi Tiberias 1-2 Ashdod
Sunday, April 6 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Hapoel Hadera

All competitions

Last Game: H. Hadera 0-1 Bnei Sakhnin
Monday, April 7 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.

Result
Ashdod	Draw	Hapoel Hadera
41.81% ( 0.03)	28.29% ( 0.29)	29.9% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 45.7% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.74% (

-1.09)

60.26% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.56% (

-0.83)

80.44% (

0.83)

Ashdod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.5)

28.42% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

-0.64)

64.18% (

0.64)

Hapoel Hadera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

-0.83)

36.16% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.06% (

-0.85)

72.94% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Ashdod 41.8%

Hapoel Hadera 29.9%

Draw 28.28%

Ashdod	Draw	Hapoel Hadera
1-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.9%