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Europa League

Dundalk
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
Molde logo

Dundalk
1 - 2
Molde

Murray (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hussain (62'), Omoijuanfo (72' pen.)
Rode Gregersen (20')

The Match

Match Report

Ohi Omoijuanfo's penalty settled the contest.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 22.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.63%) and 0-3 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.92%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawMolde
9.91%25.54%64.55%
Both teams to score 26.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.68%70.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.56%87.44%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.57%66.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.4%93.6%
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53%22.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98%56.02%
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 9.91%
    Molde 64.54%
    Draw 25.53%
DundalkDrawMolde
1-0 @ 6.11%
2-1 @ 1.87%
2-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 9.91%
0-0 @ 14.92%
1-1 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 22.28%
0-2 @ 16.63%
0-3 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-4 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 64.54%

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