National League South | Gameweek 45

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Clarence Park

St Albans City
1 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Charles (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Albans City

All competitions

Last Game: Enfield Town 1-1 St Albans City
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-0 Chesham
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Albans City in this match.

Result
St Albans City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
42.71% ( -0.15)	27.16% ( 0)	30.13% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 48.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.82% (

0.03)

56.17% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.77% (

0.03)

77.23% (

-0.03)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.06)

26.03% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.08)

61.06% (

0.08)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.12)

33.8% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.13)

70.47% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

St Albans City 42.7%

Hemel Hempstead Town 30.13%

Draw 27.16%

St Albans City	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.7%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 30.13%