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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
31.26% ( -1.37) | 23.29% ( 0.51) | 45.44% ( 0.86) |
Both teams to score 62.35% ( -2.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.01% ( -3.11) | 38.99% ( 3.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.68% ( -3.34) | 61.31% ( 3.33) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -2.29) | 24.4% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -3.34) | 58.81% ( 3.33) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.89) | 17.52% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.96% ( -1.57) | 48.03% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.6) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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