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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Stevenage |
| 34.48% | 28.45% | 37.07% |
| Both teams to score 46.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.08% | 59.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.82% | 80.17% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% | 31.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% | 67.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 3.03% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.05% Total : 37.07% |