UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 25, 2024 at 8pm UK

Samsung vollurinn

Stjarnan
2 - 1
Paide

(Paide win 5-2 on aggregate)

Atlason (24', 73')
Mar Kjartansson (62'), Brink (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kristal (54' pen.)
Baranov (22'), Ceesay (45'), Medic (70')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Stjarnan and Paide.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stjarnan

Last Game: Linfield 3-2 Stjarnan
Thursday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Paide

Last Game: Paide 1-1 Bala Town
Thursday, July 18 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Stjarnan	Draw	Paide
32.3% ( -0.22)	22.4% ( 0.01)	45.3% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 66.23% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.87% (

-0.14)

34.12% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.99% (

-0.16)

56% (

0.15)

Stjarnan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-0.19)

21.45% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.52% (

-0.29)

54.48% (

0.28)

Paide Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

0.02)

15.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27% (

0.04)

44.72% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Stjarnan 32.3%

Paide 45.3%

Draw 22.4%

Stjarnan	Draw	Paide
2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.6% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.3%