Conference League
Aug 1, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Paide linnastaadion
  • Henrik Ojamaa 29' goal
  • Robi Saarma 46' goal
  • Abdoulie Ceesay 57' goal
  • Mechini Gomis 78' yellowcard
  • Patrik Kristal 82' yellowcard
  • Michael Lilander 85' goal
  • yellowcard Helgi Frodi Ingason 77'
  • yellowcard Gudmundur Kristjansson 84'

Paide vs Stjarnan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 8.00pm
Stjarnan 2 - 1 Paide

Stjarnan

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 8.00pm
Stjarnan 2 - 1 Paide

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paide would win this match.

Result

Paide 49.04% (+11.25)
Draw 21.67% (-2.19)
Stjarnan 29.3% (-9.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.19% (+5.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.86% (+7.97)
Under 2.5 32.14% (-7.97)
Over 3.5 46.27% (+8.74)
Under 3.5 53.73% (-8.75)
Over 4.5 27.4% (+7.21)
Under 4.5 72.6% (-7.21)

Paide Goals

Over 0.5 86.34% (+7.71)
Under 0.5 13.66% (-7.71)
Over 1.5 59.15% (+13.49)
Under 1.5 40.84% (-13.49)

Stjarnan Goals

Over 0.5 77.82% (-1.11)
Under 0.5 22.18% (+1.11)
Over 1.5 44.41% (-1.69)
Under 1.5 55.59% (+1.69)

Score analysis

Paide 49.04%
Draw 21.67%
Stjarnan 29.3%
Paide
2-1 @ 9.04% (+0.69)
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.92)
2-0 @ 6% (+0.64)
3-1 @ 6% (+1.71)
3-2 @ 4.52% (+1.18)
3-0 @ 3.99% (+1.23)
4-1 @ 2.99% (+1.33)
4-2 @ 2.25% (+0.96)
4-0 @ 1.98% (+0.92)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-50.02)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-65.88)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% (-1.74)
2-2 @ 6.81% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-1.48)
3-3 @ 2.27% (+0.54)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.67%
Stjarnan
1-2 @ 6.84% (-1.59)
0-1 @ 4.56% (-2.45)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-2.03)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.94)
2-3 @ 3.42% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-1.11)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.41)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.3%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 25, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Samsung vollurinn
  • Emil Atlason 24' goal
  • Kjartan Mar Kjartansson 62' yellowcard
  • Emil Atlason 73' goal
  • Haukur Brink 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikita Baranov 22'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Ceesay 45'
  • goal Patrik Kristal 54'
  • yellowcard Predrag Medic 70'