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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
3 - 2
Stjarnan

Kristjansson (7' og.), Orr (70'), Fitzpatrick (76')
McGee (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Atlason (57'), Arni Halldorsson (88')
Thor Ingimarsson (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and Stjarnan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stjarnan 2-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Stjarnan

All competitions
Last Game: Stjarnan 2-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ballymena0nan
2Carrick0nan
3Cliftonville0nan
4Coleraine0nan
5Crusaders0nan
6Dungannon0nan
7Glenavon0nan
8Glentoran0nan
9Larne0nan
10Linfield0nan
11Loughgall0nan
12Portadown0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.27%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawStjarnan
57.27% (0.297 0.3)20.46% (-0.105 -0.11)22.26% (-0.194 -0.19)
Both teams to score 64.08% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95% (0.268 0.27)33.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.22% (0.308 0.31)54.78% (-0.311 -0.31)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.46% (0.166 0.17)11.54% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.54% (0.361 0.36)36.45% (-0.363 -0.36)
Stjarnan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)63.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 57.27%
    Stjarnan 22.26%
    Draw 20.46%
LinfieldDrawStjarnan
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.024 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 22.26%

How you voted: Linfield vs Stjarnan

Linfield
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Stjarnan
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 8pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Stjarnan
2-0
Linfield
Atlason (22', 60')
Mar Kjartansson (25')

Whiteside (20')