Anderlecht
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
Lotto Park

Anderlecht
3 - 0
Paide

Silva (62'), Murillo (72', 75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Anderlecht and Paide, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paide 0-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, August 4 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Paide had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Paide win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Anderlecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Anderlecht.

Result
AnderlechtDrawPaide
56.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)25.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)17.98% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)60.01% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.75% (0.023 0.02)80.25% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)54.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.1% (0.026 0.03)82.9% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 56.37%
    Paide 17.98%
    Draw 25.64%
AnderlechtDrawPaide
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.98%

How you voted: Anderlecht vs Paide

Anderlecht
93.1%
Draw
6.9%
Paide
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 5.45pm
Paide
0-2
Anderlecht
Refaelov (10'), Silva (40')
Arnstad (70'), Kana (81')