Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Feb 13, 2021 at 12pm UK
Slavutych Arena

Luhansk
2 - 1
Desna

Hladkyy (18', 62')
Ivanisenya (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Totovytsky (21')
Imerekov (51'), Ogirya (64'), Konoplia (77'), Kalitvintsev (90+2'), Budkivskyi (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawDesna Chernihiv
45.1%25.36%29.53%
Both teams to score 54.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75%49.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69%71.31%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18%21.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95%55.05%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1%66.9%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 45.1%
    Desna Chernihiv 29.53%
    Draw 25.36%
Zorya LuhanskDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.1%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.53%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!