Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 42%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
| 35.1% | 22.9% | 42% |
| Both teams to score 65.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.31% | 35.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.24% | 57.75% |
| Chelsea Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.28% | 20.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.67% | 53.33% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% | 17.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% | 48.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 5.73% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.64% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.39% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.16% Total : 42% |


