Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 20, 2025 at 5pm UK
 

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FT
(aet)
SA Merignac win 5-5 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between SA Merignac and Istres.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: SA Merignac 0-0 Istres (5-5 pen.)
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: SA Merignac 0-0 Istres (5-5 pen.)
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istres win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.24% and a win for SA Merignac had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istres win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-3 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%) , while for a SA Merignac win it was 2-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
SA MerignacDrawIstres
10.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)15.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.11% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.65% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.9% (0.033000000000001 0.03)31.1% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)52.5% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
SA Merignac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93% (0.022000000000006 0.02)40.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (0.018999999999998 0.02)76.71% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Istres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.85% (0.007000000000005 0.01)7.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.01% (0.025000000000006 0.03)25.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    SA Merignac 10.64%
    Istres 74.11%
    Draw 15.24%
SA MerignacDrawIstres
2-1 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 10.64%
1-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.24%
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 8.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 8.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 3.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
1-6 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 74.11%

rhs 2.0


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