Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 20, 2025 at 5pm UK
 

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Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between SA Merignac and Istres.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: SA Merignac 0-0 Colomiers US (5-5 pen.)
Sunday, November 16 at 1pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Istres 0-4 Grenoble
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Coupe de France
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Istres win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw has a probability of 15.25% and a win for SA Merignac has a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istres win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-3 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.91%) , while for a SA Merignac win it is 2-1 (3.16%).

Result
SA MerignacDrawIstres
10.64% (0.12 0.12)15.25% (0.14 0.14)74.11% (-0.261 -0.26)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)31.13% (0.363 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.45% (-0.431 -0.43)52.54% (0.43 0.43)
SA Merignac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)40.09% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)76.73% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Istres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.85% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)7.15% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.98% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)26.01% (0.355 0.36)
Score Analysis
    SA Merignac 10.64%
    Istres 74.11%
    Draw 15.25%
SA MerignacDrawIstres
2-1 @ 3.16% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.62% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 1.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 10.64%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.25%
0-2 @ 9.97% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.098 0.1)
0-4 @ 5.78% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 5.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.79% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.34% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 74.11%

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