Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 5

Apr 21, 2025 at 3.45pm UK

CSK Vitebskiy Iskusstvennoe pole

MKK-Dnepr
3 - 1
Smorgon

Glushkov (3'), Baranok (57'), Kozlovskiy (70' pen.)
Volkov (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tonkevich (90+2')
Tishko (83')

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between MKK-Dnepr and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

MKK-Dnepr

Last Game: Naftan 0-3 MKK-Dnepr
Saturday, April 12 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League

Smorgon

All competitions

Last Game: Dinamo Brest 2-0 Smorgon
Sunday, April 13 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 12.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.

Result
MKK-Dnepr	Draw	Smorgon
66.42% ( -0.29)	21.27% ( 0.21)	12.31% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 40.61% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

-0.6)

53.79% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73% (

-0.51)

75.26% (

0.51)

MKK-Dnepr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.57% (

-0.29)

15.43% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.73% (

-0.55)

44.27% (

0.55)

Smorgon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.02% (

-0.23)

51.97% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.01% (

-0.15)

85.99% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

MKK-Dnepr 66.4%

Smorgon 12.31%

Draw 21.27%

MKK-Dnepr	Draw	Smorgon
1-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.4%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.27%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.21% 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 12.31%