Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.