Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 12, 2025 at 12pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
0 - 3
MKK-Dnepr


Shchadin (16'), Kabyshev (67'), Roziyev (79'), Camara (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kozlovskiy (29', 53'), Ovsyannikov (82')
Ovsyannikov (89'), Balanovich (90+2')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and MKK-Dnepr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitebsk 2-0 Naftan
Saturday, April 5 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 0-2 MKK-Dnepr
Friday, April 4 at 6.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MKK-Dnepr win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a MKK-Dnepr win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MKK-Dnepr would win this match.

Result
NaftanDrawMKK-Dnepr
20.37% (-2.313 -2.31)23.78% (-1.477 -1.48)55.85% (3.785 3.79)
Both teams to score 49.89% (1.291 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (3.277 3.28)50.44% (-3.28 -3.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (2.828 2.83)72.37% (-2.833 -2.83)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (-0.47 -0.47)39.22% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (-0.442 -0.44)75.93% (0.438 0.44)
MKK-Dnepr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (2.735 2.74)17.9% (-2.739 -2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (4.511 4.51)48.69% (-4.514 -4.51)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 20.37%
    MKK-Dnepr 55.83%
    Draw 23.77%
NaftanDrawMKK-Dnepr
1-0 @ 6.57% (-1.011 -1.01)
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.519 -0.52)
3-1 @ 1.65% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.978 -0.98)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 12.07% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-2 @ 10.38% (0.422 0.42)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.96% (0.72 0.72)
1-3 @ 5.58% (0.611 0.61)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.256 0.26)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.496 0.5)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.439 0.44)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 55.83%

rhs 2.0


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