Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slavia Mozyr in this match.