Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 6.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.11%) and 0-3 (12.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.