Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.