Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.