Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Oct 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadyen Spartak

Dnepr Mogilev
0 - 3
Naftan


Yurkevich (43'), Vigorsky (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zhitnev (24'), Pranovich (76'), Paparyga (89')
Badoev (86')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Dnepr Mogilev and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Minsk 2-2 Dnepr Mogilev
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Naftan 1-1 Torpedo-BelAZ
Sunday, September 29 at 12pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Dnepr MogilevDrawNaftan
43.35% (0.259 0.26)25.94% (-0.127 -0.13)30.71% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.98% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (0.477 0.48)51.14% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (0.416 0.42)72.99% (-0.413 -0.41)
Dnepr Mogilev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.334 0.33)23.46% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.482 0.48)57.47% (-0.47900000000001 -0.48)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (0.152 0.15)30.78% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (0.178 0.18)67.05% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Dnepr Mogilev 43.35%
    Naftan 30.71%
    Draw 25.93%
Dnepr MogilevDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.35%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.71%

Head to Head
May 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Naftan
2-1
Dnepr Mogilev
Kingu (61'), Yurkevich (80' og.)
Dongo (65')
Glebko (45+3'), Boltrushevich (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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