Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 49.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.