Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Koper had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.