UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 17, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Celje

(Fiorentina win 4-3 on aggregate)

Mandragora (37'), Kean (67')
Folorunsho (55'), Mandragora (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matko (54'), Nemanic (65')
Vuklisevic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Parma
Sunday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Celje

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Celje 2-1 NS Mura
Sunday, April 13 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Celje had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Celje win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Celje
54.49% ( 0.43)	22.97% ( 0.01)	22.54% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-0.52)

44.49% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-0.51)

66.86% (

0.51)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

-0.03)

16.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-0.06)

45.75% (

0.06)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.27% (

-0.68)

33.73% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

-0.75)

70.39% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 54.49%

Celje 22.54%

Draw 22.96%

Fiorentina	Draw	Celje
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 54.49%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.54%