MX23RW : Wednesday, May 21 15:24:54| >> :120:80090:80090:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 17, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Celje

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Celje

Mandragora (37'), Kean (67')
Folorunsho (55'), Mandragora (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matko (54'), Nemanic (65')
Vuklisevic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celje 2-1 NS Mura
Sunday, April 13 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We said: Fiorentina 2-0 Celje (Fiorentina win 4-1 on aggregate)

Despite firing blanks against Parma in Serie A on Sunday, it is difficult to predict anything other than a straightforward victory for Fiorentina when they face the Slovenian side. Celje's disappointing away results in Europe and the home team's high-scoring nature in Florence should determine the match and tie in favour of Palladino's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Celje had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Celje win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCelje
54.49% (0.433 0.43) 22.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 22.54% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.519 -0.52)44.49% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.505 -0.51)66.86% (0.506 0.51)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)16.23% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)45.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.682 -0.68)33.73% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.749 -0.75)70.39% (0.75 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 54.49%
    Celje 22.54%
    Draw 22.96%
FiorentinaDrawCelje
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.122 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 5.95% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.54%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Celje

Fiorentina
92.3%
Draw
3.8%
Celje
3.8%
78
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Celje
1-2
Fiorentina
Delaurier-Chaubet (68' pen.)
Vuklisevic (55')
Ranieri (27'), Mandragora (62' pen.)
Moreno (35'), Ranieri (49'), Zaniolo (53'), Dodo (87'), Kean (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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