Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for APOEL had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest APOEL win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.