Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Astana had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Astana win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.