Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.29) 
