Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Atalanta

Kean (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hien (77'), Samardzic (86'), Kolasinac (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
31.61% ( -0.17)	26.47% ( 0.19)	41.93% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04% (

-0.82)

52.96% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

-0.71)

74.56% (

0.7)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

-0.53)

31.09% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

-0.63)

67.41% (

0.62)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-0.38)

24.97% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.38% (

-0.53)

59.62% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 31.61%

Atalanta BC 41.93%

Draw 26.46%

Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.61%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.93%