Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.