Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.