Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 8, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
0 - 5
Atalanta

Niasse (16'), Ghilardi (42')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Retegui (21', 25', 44', 56'), Ederson (37')
Sulemana (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, February 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna
Tuesday, February 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Atalanta BC
16.31% ( 0.33)	21.13% ( 0.85)	62.56% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 50.78% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52% (

-3.13)

45.47% (

3.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

-3.06)

67.81% (

3.06)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.01% (

-1.48)

40.99% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.45% (

-1.35)

77.55% (

1.35)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06% (

-1.32)

13.94% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.59% (

-2.68)

41.41% (

2.68)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 16.31%

Atalanta BC 62.55%

Draw 21.13%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.31%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.13%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.94) 0-2 @ 11.09% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.35) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.55%