UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 1
Panathinaikos

Mandragora (12'), Gudmundsson (24'), Kean (75')
Comuzzo (70'), Pongracic (74'), Kean (77'), Palladino (82'), Zaniolo (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ioannidis (81' pen.)
Mladenovic (27'), Swiderski (74'), Vagiannidis (83')
Mladenovic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Atromitos 1-1 Panathinaikos
Sunday, March 9 at 5pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Panathinaikos
44.68% ( 0.26)	25.14% ( -0.01)	30.18% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.02% (

-0.07)

47.98% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

-0.06)

70.15% (

0.06)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

0.09)

21.48% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48% (

0.14)

54.52% (

-0.14)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45% (

-0.21)

29.55% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-0.25)

65.57% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 44.68%

Panathinaikos 30.18%

Draw 25.14%

Fiorentina	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.68%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 30.18%