Serie A Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marin Pongracic 28' goal
  • Simone Inzaghi 31' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 36' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 52' goal
  • Nicola Zalewski 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raffaele Palladino 31'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 39'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 44'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Parisi 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 66'

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2025 7.45pm
Fiorentina 3 - 0 Inter Milan
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2025 7.45pm
Fiorentina 3 - 0 Inter Milan
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result

Inter Milan 55.01% (-0.77)
Draw 23.65% (+0.29)
Fiorentina 21.34% (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.69% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.23% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 48.76% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 29.13% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 70.87% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 14.07% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 85.92% (+0.39)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.4% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 17.59% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 51.83% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 48.17% (+0.88)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 62.72% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 37.27% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 25.94% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 74.05% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 55%
Draw 23.64%
Fiorentina 21.34%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 11.39% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 23.64%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 6.47% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 5.55% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.19% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 21.34%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Luca Ranieri 59' goal
  • Moise Kean 68' goal
  • Moise Kean 68' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 89' goal
  • goal 15'
  • goal Carlos Augusto 30'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Jonathan Ikone 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Rolando Mandragora 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 14'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 42'
  • yellowcard Yann Sommer 75'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Pavard 82'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Marcus Thuram 23' goal
  • Nicolo Barella 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 58' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 39'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Italiano 60'+60'
Coppa Italia
May 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 3' goal
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 29'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 37'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 53'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Arthur Cabral 33' goal
  • Jonathan Ikone 60' goal
  • Luka Jovic 90' goal
  • goal Nicolo Barella 2'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 15'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 73'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 90'+5'