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Serie A

Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Genoa logo

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Genoa

Kean (9'), Gudmundsson (30')
Beltran (16'), Folorunsho (49'), Comuzzo (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
De Winter (55')
De Winter (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Monza
Monday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawGenoa
67.51% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)19.78% (0.11 0.11)12.7% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 45.99% (0.678 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.35 0.35)47.07% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.324 0.32)69.31% (-0.322 -0.32)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)12.96% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)39.45% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.84% (0.796 0.8)47.16% (-0.795 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.39% (0.593 0.59)82.61% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 67.5%
    Genoa 12.7%
    Draw 19.78%
FiorentinaDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.44% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 67.5%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.78%
0-1 @ 4.6% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.53% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 12.7%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Genoa

Fiorentina
84.8%
Draw
10.9%
Genoa
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2024 5.30pm
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Genoa
0-1
Fiorentina

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Gosens (72')
Richardson (6'), Martinez (11')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Fiorentina
1-1
Genoa
Ikone (54')
Ranieri (90+1')
Gudmundsson (42' pen.)
Spence (63'), Bani (90+6')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Genoa
1-4
Fiorentina
Biraschi (58')
Retegui (21'), Bani (80')
Biraghi (5'), Bonaventura (11'), Gonzalez (40'), Mandragora (56')
Biraghi (22'), Bonaventura (34'), Milenkovic (87')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Fiorentina
6-0
Genoa
Odriozola (15'), Bonaventura (34'), Biraghi (42', 69'), Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (77')
Torreira (74')

Calafiori (32'), Portanova (36'), Sturaro (41')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 4
Genoa
1-2
Fiorentina
Criscito (90+8' pen.)
Toure (13'), Criscito (15'), Vanheusden (20'), Behrami (66')
Saponara (60'), Bonaventura (89')
Odriozola (36'), Biraghi (45+3'), Martinez (54'), Kokorin (85')
> Preview