Serie A Gameweek 23
Fiorentina
Feb 2, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Genoa
  • Moise Kean 9' goal
  • Lucas Beltran 16' yellowcard
  • Albert Gudmundsson 30' goal
  • Michael Folorunsho 49' yellowcard
  • Pietro Comuzzo 75' yellowcard
  • goal Koni De Winter 55'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 79'

Fiorentina vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2025 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Genoa

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2025 7.45pm
Genoa 2 - 0 Monza
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Andrea Pinamonti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 67.51% ▼ (-0.46)
Draw 19.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Genoa 12.7% ▲ (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.99% ▲ (+0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.93% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 47.07% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 30.69% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 69.31% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 4.5 15.15% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 4.5 84.85% ▼ (-0.23)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 87.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 12.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 60.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 39.45% ▲ (+0.06)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 52.84% ▲ (+0.80)
Under 0.5 47.16% ▼ (-0.80)
Over 1.5 17.39% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 1.5 82.61% ▼ (-0.60)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 67.5%
Draw 19.78%
Genoa 12.7%
Fiorentina
2-0 @ 12.75% ▼ (-0.23)
1-0 @ 12.49% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 67.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.78%
Genoa
0-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 12.7%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 10
Genoa
Oct 31, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Fiorentina
  • Andrea Pinamonti 2' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Vogliacco 78' yellowcard
  • Johan Vasquez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alan Matturro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 6'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 11'
  • goal Robin Gosens 72'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Fiorentina
Apr 15, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Genoa
  • Andrea Belotti 25' goal
  • Jonathan Ikone 54' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 42'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 63'
  • yellowcard Mattia Bani 90'+6'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Genoa
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Fiorentina
  • Mateo Retegui 21' yellowcard
  • Davide Biraschi 58' goal
  • Mattia Bani 80' yellowcard
  • goal Cristiano Biraghi 5'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 11'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 22'
  • yellowcard Giacomo Bonaventura 34'
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 40'
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 56'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 87'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Fiorentina
Jan 17, 2022 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Genoa
  • Alvaro Odriozola 15' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 34' goal
  • Cristiano Biraghi 42' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 51' goal
  • Cristiano Biraghi 69' goal
  • Lucas Torreira 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Torreira 77' goal
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 32'
  • yellowcard Manolo Portanova 36'
  • yellowcard Stefano Sturaro 41'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Genoa
Sep 18, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Fiorentina
  • Abdoulaye Toure 13' yellowcard
  • Domenico Criscito 15' yellowcard
  • Zinho Vanheusden 20' yellowcard
  • Valon Behrami 66' yellowcard
  • Domenico Criscito 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Alvaro Odriozola 36'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lucas Martinez 54'
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 60'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Kokorin 85'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 89'
Serie A Gameweek 29
Genoa
Apr 3, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Fiorentina
  • Kevin Strootman 2' yellowcard
  • Mattia Destro 13' goal
  • Miha Zajc 64' yellowcard
  • goal Dusan Vlahovic 23'
  • redcard Franck Ribery 52'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Iachini 52'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 90'+5'

Form Data

Lazio 1 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Torino
Monza 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 0 - 3 Napoli
Juventus 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 2 Udinese
Genoa 2 - 0 Monza
Roma 3 - 1 Genoa
Genoa 1 - 0 Parma
Lecce 0 - 0 Genoa
Empoli 1 - 2 Genoa
Genoa 1 - 2 Napoli