Conference League
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis
  • Karol Swiderski 5' goal
  • Nemanja Maksimovic 19' goal
  • Tete 39' yellowcard
  • Tete 55' goal
  • goal Lucas Beltran 20'
  • goal Nicolo Fagioli 23'
  • yellowcard Matias Moreno 90'+4'

Panathinaikos vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Fiorentina

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result

Panathinaikos 44.91%
Draw 26.46% (-0.01)
Fiorentina 28.63% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.26%

Goals

Over 2.5 45.87% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.12% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.45%
Under 3.5 75.54%
Over 4.5 11.01%
Under 4.5 88.98%

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5 75.99%
Under 0.5 24%
Over 1.5 41.74%
Under 1.5 58.25%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.47% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.52% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Panathinaikos 44.9%
Draw 26.45%
Fiorentina 28.63%
Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.59%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 28.63%