UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 6, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Apostolos Nikolaidis

Panathinaikos
3 - 2
Fiorentina

(Fiorentina win 5-4 on aggregate)

Swiderski (5'), Maksimovic (19'), Tete (55')
Tete (39')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Beltran (20'), Fagioli (23')
Moreno (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Panathinaikos and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Panetolikos
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Lecce
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result
Panathinaikos	Draw	Fiorentina
44.91%	26.46% ( -0)	28.63% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

54.12% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45%

75.54%

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99%

24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74%

58.25%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

33.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47% (

70.52% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Panathinaikos 44.9%

Fiorentina 28.63%

Draw 26.45%

Panathinaikos	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.9%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.63%