Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Feb 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Lecce

Gosens (9')
Beltran (17'), Zaniolo (61'), Mandragora (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Berisha (45+2'), Gallo (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Udinese
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Lecce
56.99% ( 0.74)	23.92% ( -0.14)	19.09% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.42% (

-0.19)

52.58% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.77% (

-0.16)

74.23% (

0.16)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

0.21)

18.27% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

0.35)

49.33% (

-0.35)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.14% (

-0.77)

41.86% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.69% (

-0.68)

78.31% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 56.98%

Lecce 19.09%

Draw 23.92%

Fiorentina	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.34% Total : 56.98%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.09%